Publications

Working papers

  • A. Lipiecki, R. Weron. Foundation models for electricity price forecasting and battery arbitrage: Can they replace market-specific forecasting models?. arXiv.2609.00089
  • A. Lipiecki, B. Uniejewski. Isotonic Quantile Regression Averaging for uncertainty quantification of electricity price forecasts. arXiv.2507.15079

Published papers

  • K. Kamińska B.; Nowak B.; Lipiecki A.; Sznajd-Weron. Competition between private and expressed opinions in binary choice: The α-EPO q-voter model. Physical Review E 113(6), 064301 (2026). 10.1103/8w9t-jpvp
  • B. Maciejowska K.; Lipiecki A.; Uniejewski. Statistical and economic evaluation of forecasts in electricity markets: Beyond RMSE and MAE. Energy Conversion and Management 356, 121408 (2026). 10.1016/j.enconman.2026.121408
  • R. Lipiecki A.; Bilińska K.; Kourentzes N.; Weron. Stealing accuracy: Predicting day-ahead electricity prices with temporal hierarchy forecasting (THieF). International Journal of Forecasting 42(4) (2026). 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2026.03.003
  • R. Lipiecki A.; Weron. PostForecasts.jl: A Julia package for probabilistic forecasting by postprocessing point predictions. SoftwareX 31, 102200 (2025). 10.1016/j.softx.2025.102200
  • K. Lipiecki A.; Sznajd-Weron. Depolarizing power of anticonformity. Expert Systems with Applications 285, 127879 (2025). 10.1016/j.eswa.2025.127879
  • K. Lipiecki A.; Sznajd-Weron. When heterogeneity drives hysteresis: Anticonformity in the multistate q -voter model on networks. Physical Review E 112(5), 054316 (2025). 10.1103/9f3r-fsrr
  • R. Lipiecki A.; Uniejewski B.; Weron. Postprocessing of point predictions for probabilistic forecasting of day-ahead electricity prices: The benefits of using isotonic distributional regression. Energy Economics 139, 107934 (2024). 10.1016/j.eneco.2024.107934
  • A. Lipiecki. Strategic Promotional Campaigns for Sustainable Behaviors: Maximizing Influence in Competitive Complex Contagions. Lecture Notes in Computer Science (including subseries Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence and Lecture Notes in Bioinformatics) 14834 LNCS (2024). 10.1007/978-3-031-63759-9_8
  • K. Doniec M.; Lipiecki A.; Sznajd-Weron. Consensus, Polarization and Hysteresis in the Three-State Noisy q-Voter Model with Bounded Confidence. Entropy 24(7), 983 (2022). 10.3390/e24070983
  • K. Lipiecki A.; Sznajd-Weron. Polarization in the three-state q-voter model with anticonformity and bounded confidence. Chaos, Solitons and Fractals 165, 112809 (2022). 10.1016/j.chaos.2022.112809
  • K. Abramiuk-Szurlej A.; Lipiecki A.; Pawłowski J.; Sznajd-Weron. Discontinuous phase transitions in the q-voter model with generalized anticonformity on random graphs. Scientific Reports 11(1), 17719 (2021). 10.1038/s41598-021-97155-0